12:10 – Severance 9/4
This is a hot novice race with the front 3 in the market difficult to split based on their early season form. Flic Ou Voyou is the more experienced being a second season novice, but whatever Paul has done this year has worked wonders. Do Your Job has won his first two starts this year and won them in good fashion. The one I’m siding with though is Severance. I was very taken with his debut performance at Carlisle, travelling strongly, jumped well in the main, and the horse he’s beaten by 8 lengths (who was odds on favourite) went fairly close to a horse called Stoners Choice who absolutely hacked up next time round. I’m excited to see what Severance has to offer going forward.
12:40 – Snow Leopardess 8/1 ew
The two I had on the shortlist here, in a very competitive staying chase was Secret Reprieve and Snow Leopardess. Robbie Power is a very eye catching booking when he rides for anyone else other then Tizzard, and I always pay close attention when Robbie is on board. His mount has a 12 pound turn around with Newtide having finished 2 and a half lengths behind him last season. However, he’s having his first run of the season and I’m siding with the race fit Snow Leopardess. Soft ground will suit as this mare has ventured to France in the past in pursuit of soft ground. She’s a proper stayer and I think she’ll go very close.
1:15 – Good Boy Bobby 7/2
Great looking race full of horses that I might side with under different circumstances. Deyrann De Carjac and Dashel Drasher would have been considered if the ground was on the better side of good to soft. Both having their first starts of the season, I’d be inclined to take them on in tomorrow’s conditions. Master Tommytucker cannot be trusted, so it’s between Good Boy Bobby and Commanche Red. Good Boy Bobby looks the class horse in the race and I can’t help but think he would have gone close in last weeks Paddy Power Gold Cup. I think he’s the bet here!
1:50 – Shakem Up’arry 11/2 ew
This horse is a bet to nothing in a field like this. He’s running off a mark of 130 which is at least 10 pounds below what he’s potentially capable of in my opinion. I don’t think this is the strongest field and I think he’s very well handicapped. He should go very close and there’s 4 places on offer.
2:25 – Wholestone 25/1 ew
I could make a case for perhaps 15 of the 17 runners. Wholestone is one of the more exposed horses in the field but I can’t ignore the 25/1 on offer. He won’t want it to be too soft as he’s never been the most convincing stayer over 3 miles. I always think it’s a tougher task to stay 3 miles over hurdles than it is over fences and his record reflects that. His best performances are over 2 and a half miles over hurdles. This is a selection purely based on price and his first run at Aintree should have him straight for this.
3:00 – Lostintranslation 6/4
This is a not bet race for me, but I’m hoping to see Lostintranslation cement himself as the best of the brits.
3:35 – Ballydine 14/1 ew
I’m nearly at the edge of the cliff with Ballydine. He’s moved into veteran status now but he’s relatively lightly raced for a 10 year old. he’s won on all ground descriptions but I’m not sure he wants an absolute marathon trip on soft ground, which he’s facing here. However, I’m willing to take a chance at 14/1. He’s won at Sandown, which is regarded as a stiff track, on soft ground over 3 miles. Hopefully he’s come on plenty for his season opener at Aintree.
12:00 – Captain Kangaroo 13/8
1:37 – Valentina Lady 25/1 ew
3:22 – Cedarwood Road 5/2
12:55 – Salty Boy 10/1 ew
3:15 – Capeland 5/1